nature and nurture
Understanding nature and nurture: Statistical and AI innovations uncover how genes and environment shape human health Science
What makes us who we are? Is it our DNA, passed down through generations, or the environment that shapes our lives? This question--how nature and nurture combine to influence health and behavior--has long captured my curiosity. As I grew up in a multigenerational household, I was struck by the story of my two uncles, identical twins who were genetically indistinguishable but who lived out very different health journeys. One developed severe cardiovascular disease by his early forties; the other stayed healthy into his sixties. What separated them was not biology--it was environment.
Nature versus nurture in galaxy formation: the effect of environment on star formation with causal machine learning
Mucesh, Sunil, Hartley, William G., Gilligan-Lee, Ciarán M., Lahav, Ofer
Understanding how galaxies form and evolve is at the heart of modern astronomy. With the advent of large-scale surveys and simulations, remarkable progress has been made in the last few decades. Despite this, the physical processes behind the phenomena, and particularly their importance, remain far from known, as correlations have primarily been established rather than the underlying causality. We address this challenge by applying the causal inference framework. Specifically, we tackle the fundamental open question of whether galaxy formation and evolution depends more on nature (i.e., internal processes) or nurture (i.e., external processes), by estimating the causal effect of environment on star-formation rate in the IllustrisTNG simulations. To do so, we develop a comprehensive causal model and employ cutting-edge techniques from epidemiology to overcome the long-standing problem of disentangling nature and nurture. We find that the causal effect is negative and substantial, with environment suppressing the SFR by a maximal factor of $\sim100$. While the overall effect at $z=0$ is negative, in the early universe, environment is discovered to have a positive impact, boosting star formation by a factor of $\sim10$ at $z\sim1$ and by even greater amounts at higher redshifts. Furthermore, we show that: (i) nature also plays an important role, as ignoring it underestimates the causal effect in intermediate-density environments by a factor of $\sim2$, (ii) controlling for the stellar mass at a snapshot in time, as is common in the literature, is not only insufficient to disentangle nature and nurture but actually has an adverse effect, though (iii) stellar mass is an adequate proxy of the effects of nature. Finally, this work may prove a useful blueprint for extracting causal insights in other fields that deal with dynamical systems with closed feedback loops, such as the Earth's climate.
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